Financial Crime and Corruption by Samuel Vaknin
6. The last type of market impeders is well known
3023 words | Chapter 69
and is the only one to have been tackled - with
varying degrees of success by governments and by
legislators worldwide. These are the trade
restricting arrangements: monopolies, cartels,
trusts and other illegal organizations. Rivers of
inks were spilled over forests of paper to explain
the pernicious effects of these anti-competitive
practices (see: "Competition Laws"). The short
and the long of it is that competition enhances and
increases efficiency and that, therefore, anything
that restricts competition, weakens and lessens
efficiency.
What could anyone do about these inefficiencies? The
world goes in circles of increasing and decreasing free
marketry. The globe was a more open, competitive and, in
certain respects, efficient place at the beginning of the 20th
century than it is now. Capital flowed more freely and so
did labour. Foreign Direct Investment was bigger. The
more efficient, "friction free" the dissemination of
information (the ultimate resource) - the less waste and
the smaller the lebensraum for parasites. The more
adherence to market, price driven, open auction based,
meritocratic mechanisms - the less middlemen,
speculators, bribers, monopolies, cartels and trusts. The
less political involvement in the workings of the market
and, in general, in what consenting adults conspire to do
that is not harmful to others - the more efficient and
flowing the economic ambience is likely to become.
This picture of "laissez faire, laissez aller" should be
complimented by even stricter legislation coupled with
effective and draconian law enforcement agents and
measures. The illegal and the illegitimate should be
stamped out, cruelly. Freedom to all - is also freedom
from being conned or hassled. Only when the righteous
freely prosper and the less righteous excessively suffer -
only then will we have entered the efficient kingdom of
the free market.
This still does not deal with the "not serious" and the
"personality disordered". What about the inefficient havoc
that they wreak? This, after all, is part of what is known,
in legal parlance as: "force majeure".
Note
There is a raging debate between the "rational
expectations" theory and the "prospect theory". The
former - the cornerstone of rational economics - assumes
that economic (human) players are rational and out to
maximize their utility (see: "The Happiness of Others",
"The Egotistic Friend" and "The Distributive Justice of
the Market"). Even ignoring the fuzzy logic behind the ill-
defined philosophical term "utility" - rational economics
has very little to do with real human being and a lot to do
with sterile (though mildly useful) abstractions. Prospect
theory builds on behavioural research in modern
psychology which demonstrates that people are more loss
averse than gain seekers (utility maximizers). Other
economists have succeeded to demonstrate irrational
behaviours of economic actors (heuristics, dissonances,
biases, magical thinking and so on).
The apparent chasm between the rational theories
(efficient markets, hidden hands and so on) and
behavioural economics is the result of two philosophical
fallacies which, in turn, are based on the misapplication
and misinterpretation of philosophical terms.
The first fallacy is to assume that all forms of utility are
reducible to one another or to money terms. Thus, the
values attached to all utilities are expressed in monetary
terms. This is wrong. Some people prefer leisure, or
freedom, or predictability to expected money. This is the
very essence of risk aversion: a trade off between the
utility of predictability (absence or minimization of risk)
and the expected utility of money. In other words, people
have many utility functions running simultaneously - or,
at best, one utility function with many variables and
coefficients. This is why taxi drivers in New York cease
working in a busy day, having reached a pre-determined
income target: the utility function of their money equals
the utility function of their leisure.
How can these coefficients (and the values of these
variables) be determined? Only by engaging in extensive
empirical research. There is no way for any theory or
"explanation" to predict these values. We have yet to
reach the stage of being able to quantify, measure and
numerically predict human behaviour and personality
(=the set of adaptive traits and their interactions with
changing circumstances). That economics is a branch of
psychology is becoming more evident by the day. It
would do well to lose its mathematical pretensions and
adopt the statistical methods of its humbler relative.
The second fallacy is the assumption underlying both
rational and behavioural economics that human nature is
an "object" to be analysed and "studied", that it is static
and unchanged. But, of course, humans change
inexorably. This is the only fixed feature of being human:
change. Some changes are unpredictable, even in
deterministic principle. Other changes are well
documented. An example of the latter class of changes in
the learning curve. Humans learn and the more they learn
the more they alter their behaviour. So, to obtain any
meaningful data, one has to observe behaviour in time, to
obtain a sequence of reactions and actions. To isolate,
observe and manipulate environmental variables and
study human interactions. No snapshot can approximate a
video sequence where humans are concerned.
XLIII. The Pettifogger Procurators
Diplomats in Post-Communist Countries
In 2001, the most unusual event has gone unnoticed in the
international press. A former minister of finance has
accused the more prominent members of the diplomatic
corps in his country of corruption. He insisted that these
paragons of indignant righteousness and hectoring
morality have tried to blackmail him into paying them
hefty commissions from money allotted to exigent
humanitarian aid. This was immediately and from afar -
and, therefore, without proper investigation - denied by
their superiors in no uncertain terms.
The facts are these: most (though by no means all)
Western diplomats in the nightmarish wasteland that is
East Europe and the Balkan, the unctuously fulsome and
the frowzily wizened alike, are ageing and sybaritic basket
cases. They have often failed miserably in their bootless
previous posts - or have insufficiently submerged in the
Byzantine culture of their employers. Thus emotionally
injured and cast into the frigorific outer darkness of a
ravaged continent, they adopt the imperial patina of
Roman procurators in narcissistic compensation. Their
long suffering wives - bored to distraction in the
impassibly catatonic societies of post communism -
impose upon a reluctant and flummoxed population the
nescient folderol of their distaff voluntary urges or
exiguous artistic talents. Ever more crapulous, they
aestivate and hibernate, the queens of tatty courts and
shabby courtiers.
The cold war having ebbed, these emissaries of
questionable provenance engage in the promotion of the
narrow interests of specific industries or companies. They
lobby the local administration, deploying bare threats and
obloquies where veiled charm fails. They exert subtle or
brutal pressure through the press. They co-opt name-
dropping bureaucrats and bribe pivotal politicians. They
get fired those who won't collaborate or threaten to expose
their less defensible misdeeds. They are glorified delivery
boys, carrying apocryphal messages to and fro. They are
bloviating PR campaigners, seeking to aggrandize their
meagre role and, incidentally, that of their country. They
wine and dine and banter endlessly with the provincial
somnolent variety of public figures, members of the venal
and pinchbeck elites that now rule these tortured
territories. In short - forced to deal with the bedizened
miscreants that pass for businessmen and politicians in
this nether world - they are transformed, assuming in the
process the identity of their obdurately corrupted hosts.
Thus, they help to sway elections and hasten to endorse
their results, however disputed and patently fraudulent.
They intimidate the opposition, negotiate with
businessmen, prod favoured politicians, spread roorbacks
and perambulate their fiefdom to gather intelligence.
More often than not, they cross the limpid lines between
promotion and extortion, lagniappe and pelf, friendship
and collusion, diplomacy and protectorate, the kosher and
the criminal.
They are the target and the address of a legion of
pressures and demands. Their government may ask them
to help depose one coalition and help install another.
Their secret services - disguised as intrusive NGOs or
workers at the embassy - often get them involved in shady
acts and unscrupulous practices. Real NGOs ask for their
assiduous assistance and protection. Their hosts - and
centuries old protocol - expect them to surreptitiously
provide support while openly refrain from intervening,
maintaining equipoise. Other countries protest, compete,
or leak damaging reports to an often hostile media. The
torpid common folk resent them for their colonial ways
and hypocritical demarches. Lacking compunction, they
are nobody's favourites and everybody's scapegoats at one
time or another.
And they are ill-equipped to deal with these subtleties.
Not of intelligence, they end where they now are and wish
they weren't. Ignorant of business and entrepreneurship,
they occupy the dead end, otiose and pension-orientated
jobs they do. Devoid of the charm, negotiating skills and
human relations required by the intricacies of their
profession - they are relegated to the Augean outskirts of
civilization. Dishonest and mountebank, they persist in
their mortifying positions, inured to the conniving they
require.
This blatantly discernible ineptitude provokes the
"natives" into a wholesale rejection of the West, its values
and its culture. The envoys are perceived as the cormorant
reification of their remote controllers. Their voluptuary
decadence is a distant echo of the West's decay, their
nonage greed - a shadow of its avarice, their effrontery
and hidebound peremptory nature - its mien. They are in
no position to preach or teach.
The diplomats of the West are not evil. Some of them
mean well. To the best of their oft limited abilities, they
cadge and beg and press and convince their governments
to show goodwill and to contribute to their hosts. But soon
their mettle is desiccated by the vexatious realities of their
new habitation. Reduced to susurrus cynicism and
sardonic contempt, they perfunctorily perform their
functions, a distant look in their now empty eyes. They
have been assimilated, rendered useless to their
dispatchers and to their hosts alike.
XLIV. Microsoft's Third Front
The Intellectual Property Wars
Elated investors greeted chairman Bill Gates and chief
executive officer Steve Ballmer for Microsoft's victory in
the titanic antitrust lawsuit brought against it by the
Department of Justice and assorted state attorneys general.
They also demanded that Microsoft distribute its pile of
cash - $40 billion in monopoly profits - as dividends.
But Microsoft may need that hoard. The battle is far from
over. The European Commission, though much weakened
by recent European Court of First Instance rulings against
its competition commissioner, Mario Monti, can fine the
company up to one tenth its worldwide turnover if it finds
against it. Microsoft is being investigated by the European
watchdog for anti-competitive practices now threatening
to spread into the high-end server software and digital
media markets.
But the software colossus faces an even more daunting
third front in central and eastern Europe and Asia. It is the
war against piracy. Both its operating system, Windows,
and its office productivity suite, Office, are widely
cracked and replicated throughout these regions.
Three years ago, Microsoft negotiated a $3 million
settlement with the government of Macedonia, one of the
single largest abusers of intellectual property rights in this
tiny country. More than 1 percent of Macedonia's GDP is
said by various observers to be derived from software and
digital content piracy.
According to Yugoslavia's news agency, Tanjug, The
governments of Serbia and Yugoslavia purchased, last
month, 30,000 software licenses from the Redmond giant.
Another 10-15,000 are in the pipeline. Aleksandar
Bojovic, public relations manager of Microsoft's
representative office in Belgrade was ebullient:
"Before the signing of an agreement on a strategic
partnership with authorities of Yugoslavia and Serbia, the
percentage of legal software used by the citizens and
industry of Serbia and Montenegro was only a few
percents. Presently it is about 20 percents. Microsoft is
more than surprised at the interest for legalization that
exists in Yugoslavia".
According to the Yugoslav newspaper Danas, Microsoft
Yugoslavia has developed versions of Windows and
Office in Serbian, replete with a spell-checker. There are
c. 1 million computers in Yugoslavia. The company
undertook, last year, to revamp the Yugoslav labyrinthine
health, education, customs and tax systems. It also sent
representatives to a delegation of businessmen that visited
Bosnia-Herzegovina in February.
Microsoft obstinately refused to price its products
differentially - to charge less in poorer markets. The
Office suite costs the equivalent of 6 weeks of the average
wage in Macedonia and a whopping 3 months' wages in
Serbia. This extortionate pricing gave rise to resentment
and thriving markets in pilfered Microsoft applications.
Pirated software costs between $1.5 per compact disk in
Macedonia and $3 in Moscow's immense open-air
Gorbushka market.
According to the Russia-based Compulog Computer
Consultants, quoted by USA Today, most communist
states maintained large-scale hacking operations involving
not only the security services, but also the computers and
electrical engineering departments of universities and
prestigious research institutes. American bans on the sale
of certain software applications - such as computer-aided
design and encryption - fostered the emergence of an
officially-sanctioned subculture of crackers and pirates.
In the last few years, Russian organized crime has evolved
to incorporate computer fraud, identity theft, piracy of
software and digital media and other related offenses. The
Russian mafia employs programmers and graduates of
computer sciences. The British Daily Express reported in
September that - probably Russian - hackers broke into
Microsoft's computer network and absconded with
invaluable source codes. These are believed to be now
also in the possession of the FSB, the chief successor to
Russia's notorious KGB.
The Business Software Alliance, a United States based
trade group, claims that 87-92 percent of all business
computer programs used in Russia are bootlegged - a
piracy rate second only to China's. Microsoft sells c. $80-
100 million a year in the Russian Federation and the CIS.
Had it not been for piracy, its revenues could have
climbed well above the $1 billion mark.
According to Moscow Times and RosBalt, Microsoft's
sales in Russia almost doubled in the last 12 months and it
has decided to expand into the regions outlying Moscow
and into Kazakhstan and Ukraine. Yet, the company's
attempts to stamp out illicit copying in the last years of
Russian president Boris Yeltsin's regime - including a
much publicized visit by Bill Gates and a series of
televised raids on disk stamping factories - floundered and
yielded a wave of xenophobic indignation.
Still, central and eastern Europe is a natural growth
market for the likes of Microsoft. The region is awash
with highly qualified, talented, and - by Western measure
- sinfully cheap experts. Purchasing power has increased
precipitously in countries like the Czech Republic,
Hungary, Slovakia, Slovenia, parts of Russia, and Croatia.
Both governments and businesses are at the initial stages
of investing in information technology infrastructure.
Technological leapfrogging rendered certain countries
here more advanced than the West in terms of broadband
and wireless networks.
XLV. NGOs - The Self-Appointed Altruists
Their arrival portends rising local prices and a culture
shock. Many of them live in plush apartments, or five star
hotels, drive SUV's, sport $3000 laptops and PDA's. They
earn a two figure multiple of the local average wage. They
are busybodies, preachers, critics, do-gooders, and
professional altruists.
Always self-appointed, they answer to no constituency.
Though unelected and ignorant of local realities, they
confront the democratically chosen and those who voted
them into office. A few of them are enmeshed in crime
and corruption. They are the non-governmental
organizations, or NGO's.
Some NGO's - like Oxfam, Human Rights Watch,
Medecins Sans Frontieres, or Amnesty - genuinely
contribute to enhancing welfare, to the mitigation of
hunger, the furtherance of human and civil rights, or the
curbing of disease. Others - usually in the guise of think
tanks and lobby groups - are sometimes ideologically
biased, or religiously-committed and, often, at the service
of special interests.
NGO's - such as the International Crisis Group - have
openly interfered on behalf of the opposition in the last
parliamentary elections in Macedonia. Other NGO's have
done so in Belarus and Ukraine, Zimbabwe and Israel,
Nigeria and Thailand, Slovakia and Hungary - and even in
Western, rich, countries including the USA, Canada,
Germany, and Belgium.
The encroachment on state sovereignty of international
law - enshrined in numerous treaties and conventions -
allows NGO's to get involved in hitherto strictly domestic
affairs like corruption, civil rights, the composition of the
media, the penal and civil codes, environmental policies,
or the allocation of economic resources and of natural
endowments, such as land and water. No field of
government activity is now exempt from the glare of
NGO's. They serve as self-appointed witnesses, judges,
jury and executioner rolled into one.
Regardless of their persuasion or modus operandi, all
NGO's are top heavy with entrenched, well-remunerated,
extravagantly-perked bureaucracies. Opacity is typical of
NGO's. Amnesty's rules prevent its officials from publicly
discussing the inner workings of the organization -
proposals, debates, opinions - until they have become
officially voted into its Mandate. Thus, dissenting views
rarely get an open hearing.
Contrary to their teachings, the financing of NGO's is
invariably obscure and their sponsors unknown. The bulk
of the income of most non-governmental organizations,
even the largest ones, comes from - usually foreign -
powers. Many NGO's serve as official contractors for
governments.
NGO's serve as long arms of their sponsoring states -
gathering intelligence, burnishing their image, and
promoting their interests. There is a revolving door
between the staff of NGO's and government bureaucracies
the world over. The British Foreign Office finances a host
of NGO's - including the fiercely "independent" Global
Witness - in troubled spots, such as Angola. Many host
governments accuse NGO's of - unwittingly or knowingly
- serving as hotbeds of espionage.
Very few NGO's derive some of their income from public
contributions and donations. The more substantial NGO's
spend one tenth of their budget on PR and solicitation of
charity. In a desperate bid to attract international attention,
so many of them lied about their projects in the Rwanda
crisis in 1994, recounts "The Economist", that the Red
Cross felt compelled to draw up a ten point mandatory
NGO code of ethics. A code of conduct was adopted in
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