The Silicon Jungle by David H. Rothman
2. You can more easily work with long electronic documents.
9377 words | Chapter 8
With one drive I’m storing WordStar and a number of other goodies that
take up almost all the space on the floppy; there’d be hardly any room
for the information I’m typing out. All this is happening on my “A”
drive.
The “B” drive is my =data disk=, devoted entirely to storage of my
writing. I can easily squeeze the equivalent of about fifty pages of
double-spaced typing with WordStar, which is one reason I bought a
Kaypro instead of an Osborne. Brand O’s earlier versions could store
only half that amount of material. Before buying a computer, you should
always analyze your paper records in terms of “K.” Each K stands for
1,024 characters; and that includes letters, numbers, punctuation marks,
and spaces in between. A double-spaced page of typing might be 66 (the
number of columns across each line) × 28 (the number of lines), or 1,848
characters. Bingo! That’s 1.8K, plus a little slack for safety. Since
Andy Kay allowed 191K of working space on each floppy, I’d have enough
room for a document some hundred pages long, except that WordStar makes
an electronic carbon copy for additional security. So my actual working
space is around 50 pages. That’s easily enough for this chapter to fit
on one of the Kaypro II’s floppies. And newer floppy disk drives can
accommodate more than 2.5 million bytes.
Although the Osborne and Kaypro both used twin drives, there were also
major differences between the two—beyond the =double-density= feature
that allowed Kay to squeeze twice as much material on each floppy.
Osborne’s first computer, for example, came with only a five-inch
monitor. “Adequacy is sufficient,” he once said. “All else is
irrelevant.” It was a neat excuse for his early machine’s limited disk
space and for the five-inch, black-and-white screen, which could display
only 52 columns and which wasn’t as kind to the eyes as green.
The production-model Kaypro, on the other hand, boasted a nine-inch,
80-column green screen from the start.
And the Kaypro keyboard made the Osborne board seem flimsy. “I like
something I can feel when I’m pressing a letter down,” said Kim
DeFilippis, a dealer relations woman who was one of the touch-typists
chosen to try out different keyboards for the new machine. “The board
doesn’t feel like one on a computer. It feels like a typewriter.” And
the keys, unlike the Osborne’s, were in all the right places for people
weaned on Selectrics. Kay had used the same Tiffany-quality keyboard
found on computer terminals costing thousands of dollars more than his
economy machine.
Kay, moreover, had given his Kaypro a metal case unlike the plastic one
of the Osborne. Metal dispersed heat better, and that meant that the
parts might last longer than those in the early Osbornes. Brand O tended
to overheat floppy disks. Recalling that Non-Linear Systems made test
instruments, however, one reviewer gibed that the metal case betrayed
the Kaypro’s heritage. I didn’t care. The Kaypro reminded me of old
Heathkits, of smoky soldering irons, of crisp, cold evenings in my youth
when I’d listened through the static for the whistling dots and dashes
from my fellow hams. But many people shrugged off the Kaypro’s
appearance as unprofessional, and so I asked about the case. Kay said
its contents dictated the shape. “Unless we created air space and made
it larger,” he said, “we couldn’t have made the shape much different.” A
hood shaded the Kaypro’s =cathode ray tube= (CRT; the TV-like screen).
And as it turned out, that matched the comfortable slope of the keyboard
that attached to the front of the machine for carrying. I noticed only a
few adornments added for buyers’ eyes. One was the blue “KAYPRO II”
lettering on the case and the stripes on it and the keyboard; another
was the blue color of the keys on the calculatorlike numbers pad. No,
you couldn’t mistake the Kaypro for a Gucci creation. And yet, as good,
functional design, the Kaypro succeeded: at least one other portable
appeared in a sharp-edged metal box.
The location of my Kaypro’s two disk drives, to the right of the CRT,
was especially logical. Kay and his engineers wanted them well separated
from a high-voltage transformer on the left—an electrical component that
was part of the video circuitry and whose magnetic radiation could
interfere with the operation of the drives. Bill McDonald noted the
Osborne disks were on either side of the tube. Circuitry for a nine-inch
tube produced more electronic noise than that given off by a
five-incher. And McDonald speculated that this was one reason Osborne
had to make do with the smaller size.
Inside the Kaypro, atop the printed circuit boards, you saw integrated
circuits with leglike leads of the kind that one writer compared to
caterpillars. You found somewhat similar looking parts inside the
Osborne. But there was a difference. “Oh, my God,” said Michael Pond,
owner of a Washington-area Kaypro dealership, the Computer Shoppe, “once
you take the cover off the Osborne, everything sort of falls apart in
your hand. It’s held together by the wiring harness. It’s like a
jellyfish.” That may have been a bit off target. Chris Christiansen,
however, a computer analyst with the Yankee Group, a high-tech marketing
research firm, compared the Osborne to a Chinese puzzle and said an
Osborne user “in the next office gets very nervous when I come around
with a screwdriver.” By contrast the Kaypro looked eminently repairable.
“When you take one part of the machine off,” Pond said, “the rest of the
machine doesn’t fall apart.” Andy Kay’s people had divided up the
circuitry into several modules that repairmen could remove _easily_. His
computer had far fewer chips than the old Apple II. And with fewer
chips, repair people more often could locate glitches by replacing
various parts until the machine was working again. Fondly, Pond said the
Kaypro II was “over-engineered,” like an early-model Volvo.
“Well,” you’re wondering, “what about the Kaypro I?”
It never existed except as a prototype. Of course, the II didn’t hurt
Kay’s efforts to convince buyers that he had one up on Osborne.
The prototype’s screen was between the disk drives, interfering with
them, and another flaw became clear: the shortness of the cable between
the keyboard and the main unit. Bill McDonald was worried. Suppose a
customer crushed a finger while wrestling with the little cable? Why not
hinge the keyboard to the twenty-pound console? And that’s how
Non-Linear Systems indeed built the prototype. But McDonald still
fretted that someone might undo the latches; and so, driven by fear of a
lawsuit from a klutzy Kaypro owner, the engineers redesigned the
computer to accommodate a coiled cord several feet long.
Altogether, Andy Kay’s people spent only a year and less than half a
million dollars developing the Kaypro II.
“After we’d been at it eight or nine months,” he said, “someone brought
in some literature from Osborne, who had just announced his portable
computer. I said, ‘Oh, oh, somebody beat me to the punch.’ But I saw he
had a different idea in mind—a smaller screen, plastic case, different
market.”[10] The words “different market” are more than a little off
mark. Andy Kay, like it or not, was in direct competition with Osborne.
Kay might sell his computers at independent stores rather than at the
ComputerLands and Sears stores where many of Osborne’s machines ended
up. But at meetings of Kaypro owners and “Ozzies,” I found the same
hodgepodge of small-business people and professionals.
Footnote 10:
_San Diego_ is the source of the “After we’d been at it eight or nine
months” quote.
Hearing of Osborne, Kay actually was grateful in a sense. “When he
started telling the world about how many orders he’s got, I said, ‘Well,
if he’s getting all these orders, I’ll start making more of them.’”
Kay used an electronic spreadsheet on his newly developed computer to
forecast its sales. The Kaypro II had better succeed, since the half
million in expenses didn’t include marketing costs and miscellaneous
ones such as manuals—another million altogether. Kay, however, said the
high-interest loans for the project “never really bothered me that much.
I felt confident of getting it done. In one sense I place very little
value on money. My wife, Mary, is quite different. She said, ‘You’ll
lose your money.’ She was secretary of the company. She had to sign
mortgages on our home that we had paid for, property we owned, the plant
site. It was a heavy burden for her. If you’re in an airplane or car,
going up a winding road on a mountain, the fellow who’s driving isn’t as
nervous as if someone else is driving. I was involved in getting it
done. She was on the sidelines worrying about it.”
The Kaycomp—that was the original name before the Kays changed it
because it resembled another computer firm’s—first went public at a San
Francisco computer fair in March 1982. Just a routine item appeared in
_Byte_, the phone-book-sized microcomputer magazine. I wondered why.
Maybe it was because Andy Kay’s technology wasn’t new, merely good
repackaging, and he wasn’t selling himself as God or Henry Ford. But
dealers at computer shows were raving. The Kaypro’s suggested retail
price was $1,795, the same as the Osborne’s, and Kay, too, threw in
software: a word processor, an electronic spreadsheet, and other
programs that could have cost more than $1,000 if purchased
individually. Kay was smart. Osborne had pioneered by including business
software for “free” with an economy-priced machine, and now Kay must
follow with its own “bundled” programs.
“Has _Catch 22_’s Milo Minderbinder, World War II’s greatest
wheeler-dealer, hired on as a software buyer at NLS?” _San Diego_
marveled.
“You don’t think that took a lot of time to put together?” Kay said. “We
purchased some software outright and pay royalties for some.”[11]
Footnote 11:
_San Diego_ contains the quote on software purchases and royalties.
By mid-1982, customers and dealers had placed several thousand advanced
orders. Kay’s production lines cranked up, though the pace was slow at
first as his people searched for bugs. They did not always stamp them
out. A disk drive on my Serial #3083, lasted only a year; my warranty
was for the industry’s usual ninety days. Moreover, despite visits to
several dealers, my computer still streaked lightly across the screen
when I typed, and finally I had to have the monitor replaced. But the
view easily beat the Osborne’s. And later, modifying the circuitry and
positioning the disk drives horizontally instead of vertically, Kay
ended the streaks on new units. “In an emergency I get all the senior
engineers on the job,” he said. “We don’t let problems go on like old
man river.”
Andy Kay rewarded his top problem solvers with benefits like stock
options, and the stock offering prospectus from Prudential-Bache
Securities anticipated that in 1983 Kay himself would earn $187,000 in
salary, bonuses, and other remuneration.
Not everyone fared so well; Kay said his labor costs were half those of
competitors. “The wages on the line are so low,” quipped a disgruntled
ex-employee, “I’d call them south of the border.” Kaypro was typical of
many high-tech companies; the production workers were mainly women, many
of them foreign born, some of them incapable of speaking English, all of
them nonunion. Adam Osborne, too, tried to cut labor costs to the bone.
And Atari had laid off scores of Americans and farmed out jobs to
cheaper labor abroad, reddening the faces of the politicians known as
“Atari Democrats” who believed that high tech could fight unemployment.
Regardless of the low wages, Kay’s own company at least appeared to be
the antithesis of a sweatshop. His hillside buildings didn’t look like
normal factories; they were long and narrow, well windowed, split into
small rooms without the racket of mechanized production lines. Kay
described his workers as “always moving, interacting constantly. If one
piece is missing, they work around that. If one person is slow because
he happens to be new, they work around him and help him out. It’s
exactly the same approach we used for stuffing printed circuit boards on
the voltmeters. It uses the least amount of capital equipment, and it’s
the easiest on the assemblers, because they aren’t just sitting or
standing in one spot.”
Lacking a conventional assembly line, Kay said he needed few mid-level
managers; and even after Kay went public, he still hated to bring in
MBAs. Managers built empires. They feuded. They got in producers’ way.
That was how Kay felt, apparently—a legacy of the 1960s when Non-Linear
Systems had splurged thousands on those seven vice-presidents and their
white Cadillacs. But some practices from the go-go years lingered. One,
said Kay, was participative management, the philosophy that had led to
the formation of those small, friendly assembly teams. The atmosphere
around the plant was informal. “We have very few written policies on
anything,” he said. No dress code existed, save for an informal ban on
attire like short shorts—a policy bent to accommodate workers who
labored in the hot Southern California sun.
Also, Andy Kay’s company at times hired people with unusual backgrounds.
Clifford Odendhal, a musician-dancer-songwriter in his thirties, had
come by way of COJO Wind, David Kay’s alternative energy firm. David
asked Odendhal to help Non-Linear Systems catch up on back
correspondence, leading to a customer-service job there. Eventually,
Odendhal was helping with public relations. “This is the first job
outside of entertainment that I have ever cared about beyond my
paycheck,” he said.
Andy said of David, “He’s less cautious about hiring people than I am.
If they don’t work out, he just lets them go.”
David, a six-foot-three-inch surfer with a degree in math and a hobby of
collecting dictionaries, had himself started with the company several
years before the birth of the Kaypro. Now he was vice-president for
marketing, and when an investment banker asked Andy if David was a
vice-president because he was Andy’s son or because he was the best man
for the job, Andy replied: “Both.” He believed that David’s role in the
development and marketing of the Kaypro “was extremely important. In
thirty years I’ve never seen a man in marketing who measures up to
one-tenth the dedication and performance he’s shown.”
Andy’s son used what the _Wall Street Journal_ described as
“idiosyncratic” marketing techniques. Dealers couldn’t sell Kaypros by
mail. They didn’t enjoy extended credit. The Kaypro Division, in fact,
did not even spend much at first on national advertising.
Examined closely, however, each policy seemed logical. Most customers
couldn’t just walk out the door of their computer dealer and wave an
eternal good-bye. Chances are that they’d be back for advice or repairs.
So Kaypro wanted local dealers not to face competition from cutthroat
mail-order houses that left the customer on his own.
Without a strong network of local stores, Kaypro might perish. Andy Kay
appreciated this. “If a fellow does mail order and the contract says he
can’t,” Kay said, “David cuts him off without a qualm. Maybe the dealer
says we need him or he won’t be able to support his family and kids.
Well, forget it. This is a business, but it’s also our livelihood, too.”
Of course, not all mail-order establishments in the computer trade were
unethical: I knew of some good ones. But from a manufacturer’s viewpoint
the policy made sense. The Kays at the time wanted to befriend the
independent dealers, who were less likely to flood the market with
heavily discounted computers than the chains were.
However sympathetic to the independents, Kaypro didn’t follow the lead
of some expansion-minded computer companies and grant extended credit—a
sensible policy in this volatile business. A California chain folded,
owing hundreds of thousands to Apple as well as customers. As to how he
originally picked up many dealers, Andy Kay said, “The orders just
started rolling in. Now we’re sort of clearing out dealers which are
operating out of backs of cars or whatever.”
Kay was also benefiting by selling through his own network rather than
being at the mercy of distributors—and supporting their profit margins.
By the summer of 1983, Kaypros were selling at some thousand
dealerships. Christiansen observed that Kaypro gave dealers “30 or 40
percent margins. So does Osborne. That’s how they get the dealers to
carry the damned things. You know, when you have fifty guys a week
knocking on your door, you pick the one who’s going to put the most
money in your pocket, and Osborne and Kaypro both know how to play this
game as well as or better than anyone else. How do you think Kaypro went
from nothing in 1982 to 100,000 units in 1983?” Kay disputed this. He
said that the Kaypro’s quality sold the computers, that he hadn’t
offered more than 25 percent dealer discounts, and never would; and his
claim seemed creditable enough when some stores dropped the Kaypro
because the markup wasn’t big enough. Whatever the facts, Kaypro in 1983
boasted sales offices in some fifteen U.S. cities and one in the
Netherlands. One-third of the computer-store ads in the _Washington
Post_ business supplement of August 8, 1983, mentioned the Kaypro.
The limited _national_ advertising was equally wise. Why not depend at
first on local ads telling where people could buy the product? And what
was the use of creating a demand for more computers than Kaypro could
make? Andy Kay had learned from Osborne’s example. Adam Osborne’s
splashy ads had helped create the market that the Kaypro was now
enjoying.
Besides, Kay was benefiting from something better than advertising: the
articles of friendly writers. And why not? Writing was just another form
of word processing—a category for which most Kaypro owners had bought
their machines. Certainly the Selectric-style keyboard and 80-column
screen had impressed _me_. Peter McWilliams, the very same writer who
had led the cheering in the micro magazines for the Osborne, was a
Kaypro convert. “Put simply, as a personal computer, the Kaypro II is
superior to the Osborne 1 in almost every detail,” he wrote—“yet it
retails for the same $1,795. As David Letterman might say,
‘Unbelievable!’” James Fallows, the Washington editor of the _Atlantic
Monthly_, free-lancing for _TV Guide_, called the Kaypro “the best
value” for “complicated accounting” or “heavy-duty word processing.” I
was used to seeing hype in and out of computer magazines for inferior
products. The Kaypro, however, deserved the paeans. Granted, I didn’t
like Perfect Writer, a word processor included between 1982 and early
1984; and the sharpness of the monitor was no match for some more
expensive machines. The Kaypro wasn’t the best computer, period. But at
the time Fallows praised the Kaypro to the millions of _TV Guide_
readers, it may well have been the best dollar-for-dollar value. Fallows
himself didn’t own a Kaypro. He honestly reached his conclusion
unassisted by a special offer from Kaypro: 40 percent discounts for
writers; the company said—convincingly or not—that it didn’t attach any
strings.
As production increased, Kaypro finally did trot out national
advertisements. One, in _Esquire_, showed a young Kaypro user in an
office swept by a fierce wind, blowing coworkers’ papers away and
tousling his hair, while he was typing happily away with his chair and
desk raised a foot off the floor, “KAYPRO RISES TO THE OCCASION,” said
the advertisement. I didn’t really see the point. The technical specs
were buried in small print at the bottom of the page; why couldn’t the
ad tell me in large print and simple language what the Kaypro could
_do_? A Kaypro staffer said the ad was to build name recognition. Then
the company might unleash a campaign portraying its steel ugly duckling
as the Volkswagen of small computers. It seemed a sensible-enough idea.
Then, again, it was another indication that the computer business was
becoming more like Detroit—selling not only economy but the _image_ of
economy.
Finally, the new ads came out. In simple, helpful language they told
novices what to look for in a small business computer. And yet you could
hardly confuse the ads’ goals with _Consumer Reports_'. The ads for
beginners recommended consulting with an expert before choosing a
machine; at the same time ads in sophisticated magazines like _Byte_
asked computer pros to suggest the Kaypro to beginners. (“Once you tell
people about the complete business computer for $1,595,” said an ad
appearing after the Kays lowered the price $200, “they’ll probably stop
bugging you with a lot of questions.”)
The public relations campaign was just as slick. No one lied. But Hill &
Knowlton, the fast-track public relations agency, laced its Kaypro
releases with quotes skillfully reflecting the computer makers’
self-interest. In one, David Kay said, “If it isn’t portable, it doesn’t
pay to buy it.” That was hyperbole, pure and simple.
The nine-inch screen, for instance, was a major improvement over the
Osborne, and it was entirely right for an economy portable from which
many buyers would eventually trade up, anyway; but writers and other
heavy-duty users might prefer a twelve-incher from the very start. For
not much more than the Kaypro at the time of the release, you could buy
a desktop computer called the Morrow Micro Decision with good software
and a twelve-inch screen. Milton Viorst, a Washington journalist,
couldn’t stomach the Kaypro monitor. He considered the Kaypro the kind
of machine you might tote back and forth between home and the beach but
not the best for heavy-duty viewing. He bought the Morrow, or two,
actually: one for himself and one for his wife, Judith, a well-known
poet and magazine writer. However pro-Kaypro, I could see why. The
Kaypro, strictly speaking, wasn’t even portable; instead, it was
_transportable_. Unless you were a 300-pound tackle playing for the
Pittsburgh Steelers, you weren’t about to tote a sharp-edged, 26-pound
computer and battery pack as casually as you would an attaché case.
Other “feature information” from Hill & Knowlton in spring 1983 offered
more tips for computer shoppers in a way cunningly designed to steer
them to the Kaypro without the customers’ quite knowing what was going
on.
“KAYPRO Division of Non-Linear Systems” appeared on the first page in
big blue letters above the text. But the seven-page “feature
information”—the part intended for publication—mentioned the computer by
name just once and in an inconspicuous location. It laid out the specs
for a good portable. Then, several hundred words after the Kaypro
mention, it triumphantly concluded, “For as little as $1,795, you can
already buy the only fully portable personal computer with a full-sized
screen, one that offers large enough memory capacity to handle business,
entertainment and educational programming and a service network that’s
available anytime or anyplace—just like the optimal portable personal
computer itself.” I recalled the canned releases from food companies
that women’s pages ran verbatim. How many newspapers and magazines would
do the same with “feature information” from Kaypro? David and his father
had made a good machine. And yet I wondered how many manufacturers of
bad computers might start using similar tactics. Joel Strasser, at the
time the Hill & Knowlton man handling Kaypro, later protested that he
was engaging in standard public relations practice, but his remarks
simply dramatized how the welfare of shoppers might clash with that of
the manufacturers. Disguised puffery was hardly in keeping with David
Kay’s portrayal of himself as a consumer advocate.
Around the time the Kays were calling in high-powered public relations
people, Adam Osborne himself went a step further. In January 1983 he
hired a professional manager to be Osborne Computer’s president, Robert
Jaunich II, formerly president of Consolidated Foods. Osborne would
later blame Jaunich for many of the computer firm’s problems, telling a
reporter that Jaunich wasn’t fleet-footed enough for a young company in
an industry with a fast-changing market.
Jaunich’s recollections would differ. Recalling the discoveries he made
during the audit before the never-to-take-place public offering of
Osborne stock, he told the _Wall Street Journal_, “Every day you came
in, the numbers got worse. Every number you touched went soft.” He
blamed the corporate chaos on Adam Osborne. “The real message,” said
Jaunich, who resigned as Osborne president in December 1983, “is the
professional people got here too late to help.”
Osborne was also critical of another executive; he accused him of
cutting a deal with a supplier—while still working at Osborne
Computer—to make a rival machine. Whatever happened, the internal
squabbles at Osborne may have wasted time and energy that he and
colleagues could better have devoted to their battle against the Kaypro.
He himself would later admit in his book _Hypergrowth_ that “new product
development moved slowly” until the second half of 1982. A smaller,
cheaper Osborne 1, the Vixen, never reached the market while he was
running the company. His $2,495 Executive computer—with a seven- rather
than five-inch screen—did make it out the door. “Wayne” didn’t.
Introduced early enough, Wayne could have given the Kays fits. This
$1,995 model was to offer a nine-inch screen and include a built-in
printer and a pile of free programs for word processing, communications
with other computers, and other tasks. But technical problems bedeviled
Osborne. When Osborne finally caught on that IBM had established a new
industry standard, he sought to make his Executive compatible, but he
was aware of his own company’s “dismal record in engineering
development.”
Osborne entrusted the task to a San Diego firm. By May 1983, however,
Osborne realized that the firm’s IBM-compatible prototypes were
“expensive, late, and included wholly unacceptable features such as
circles that would be displayed as ovals when an Executive user switched
from CP/M to IBM compatibility.”
Adam Osborne was clearly losing his sales war with Andy Kay. He had
talked to reporters about the Executive in early 1983, and in July
newspapers said this had discouraged some dealers from ordering too many
Osborne 1s. The story was that Osborne’s cash reserves had fallen as
orders for the older machines dropped from 10,000 a month to almost
nothing. Apparently he’d forgotten one of the precepts of any business
with changing products: you're always competing against yourself. If you
make too many old models or brag too soon about the new ones, then you
may imperil your cash flow and see surplus product inventory pile up.
Your customers will keep their wallets shut as they await your coming
attraction. It was a most plausible explanation for Osborne Computer’s
cash-flow problems but perhaps not the main one. In _Hypergrowth_
Osborne revealed that his sales levels for his Osborne 1 had been
dwindling even without all the puffery about the forthcoming Executive
model; he confessed that he had lied to the press to throw it “off the
scent of the real story.” His bankers were threatening to call in loans;
he was laying off workers, yet he still hoped to woo private investors.
As the end neared, Osborne dealers were fighting Kaypro ones with price
reductions. An Osborne 1, discounted, sold for as low as $1,000 by late
August 1983. Stores also were dropping the Executive’s price, and with
good reason: why so expensive a machine without IBM compatibility right
off the bat?
The first prototypes of the new IBM-compatible Executive weren’t being
built until September 1983, or as Osborne later observed, “precisely at
the time the company was filing for bankruptcy.”
The bankruptcy papers showed next to no income and $45 million owed
creditors. _Newsweek_ ran a photograph of Osborne leaving his office
without a portable computer in sight. Instead, a briefcase was shielding
his face, and the caption read: “Founder Osborne exits: IBM was too
big.”
That was somewhat wrong. The IBM-compatibility issue notwithstanding,
_Kaypro_ had been Osborne’s main competition.
“I’ve always had a great deal of respect for Kaypro,” he would later
confess to _Popular Computing_. “You’ve got to make those statements
[knocking the Kaypro]. It makes good copy, damn it.”
It didn’t make for the best-informed computer buyers, however. Bowled
over by Osborne’s marketing campaign and well-publicized disparagement
of the competition, some consumers had ignored the information that
mattered in the end: the numbers. The screen measurements, disk-drive
capacity, almost everything, said the Kaypro was a better computer for
common applications. Osborne had faced a moral dilemma. Should he
badmouth the competition and help his company survive? Or should he tell
the truth—that Brand X was better than his own product? Not
surprisingly, Osborne, like any other computer manufacturer, had made
the former choice.
In fighting Osborne, Kay had dropped his suggested retail price $200 in
May 1983 to $1,595, an indication that small business computers were
becoming no more impervious to price wars than the home ones were. He
also offered a souped-up version of his II and beefed up his software.
His Kaypro IV—the jump from II to IV reflected the substitution of two
400K floppy disk drives for the II’s 200K ones—sold for $1,995.
Yet another weapon against Osborne was the Kaypro 10, a deluxe model
with a 10-megabyte =hard disk=. It sold for $2,795, an amazing deal at
the time. A hard disk is an aluminum platter coated with magnetic film,
and 10 megabytes is the equivalent of 5,000 double-spaced typewritten
pages; yet Kay was selling the computer and software for less than the
prices of many hard-disk add-ons.
“Adam Osborne,” said Kay, “has said he couldn’t make a portable hard
disk because the hard disks are so sensitive to shock. Well, engineering
advances are such that hard disks now are capable of being moved. Our
very first one was shipped to a show in Germany.”
An _InfoWorld_ headline was less sanguine: “Hard disk, portable
‘newlyweds’ face some problems.”
Could Kay succeed with his hard disk? Another company made the disk
itself, and Kaypro had to replace some drives on the early Kaypro 10s.
But _some_ glitches were hardly a surprise in any new micro, hard-disk
style or floppy. Meanwhile, no less than Control Data, the computer
giant, was planning to offer a 5-megabyte hard disk for portables.
Already some smaller companies had put out portables with hard disks.
And yet Kay, turning out thousands of the machines, was gambling more
heavily on their reliability than the others. It could pay, however. New
technology might or might not succeed; but in his fast-moving industry,
old technology sooner or later would surely fail. To stay alive, he must
be among the leaders. More than 150 companies were clawing their way
through the micro business in late 1983, and some analysts believed that
fewer than 20 could survive five more years. Many of the 150 had only
what one expert called “press release products.” But others were real
threats; and without the resources of an IBM or Apple, Kay ideally would
fight back through innovation as well as good marketing. He needn’t
invent any new micro technology. Yet as a survival-minded “solver of
problems,” he had better be prepared to make prompt use of the
breakthroughs of others.
So major risks were ahead—inevitable—as Kay girded for his next fights
with the valley.
Backups:
◼ I, Twenty-Six Questions to Ask at (and About) the Computer Store, page
281.
◼ II, A Few Grouchy Words on Printers, page 294.
3 ❑ After the War
The Silicon Valley gossips in late 1983 said Adam Osborne was trying
science-fiction writing. Then, the next spring, stories suddenly
blossomed about his new software company; he bragged that it would be
the paperback publisher of the micro world, a mass-market operation that
would undercut rivals just as his computer firm had. The name of the new
company, in Berkeley, California, was Paperback Software International.
And his quotes against competitors were just as colorful as in the old
days.
“There’s a helluva lot of software out there,” Osborne told _USA Today_,
“and a lot of it’s overpriced garbage.”
He planned to sell his programs at book chains and book racks at less
than one-fourth the prices of the Brand Xs. The idea seemed apple-pie
admirable, but most people would rather not buy more software than they
had time to learn and use; how many hardcore buffs were out there
itching to spend hours mastering cheap new programs? Circumstances might
change as software becomes easier to use. But could you imagine a
Word-Processor-of-the-Month Club or a spreadsheet rack to the right of
the gothic romances? No, except for games programs and very cheap
enhancements of existing business programs like Lotus 1-2-3, the
paperback concept seemed dicey. Even Osborne wasn’t infallible as a seer
and market analyst. Once he’d predicted that IBM would fail in the micro
market, and hadn’t he been too slow to grasp the importance of IBM
compatibility for his own products? Still, although Osborne Computer
Corp. itself had floundered, it had not been for want of the right
vision at the company’s inception. His new software enterprise might
indeed survive in the proper niche. First, however, he would need
capital. In fall 1984 _InfoWorld_ reported that Osborne had paid for a
booth at a software show but had not set it up because, for want of
funding, his first products weren’t ready. Investors may have shied away
due to Osborne’s earlier failure to overcome the classic entrepreneur’s
challenge: not just to start a company but keep it prospering.
In shrunken form, with Osborne having resigned as president in September
1983, his old company lingered on in early 1984, selling old machines
and still promising a new IBM-compatible portable. Andy Kay at the time
had no need to fear this corporate husk. For a while, in fact, Kaypro
may even have been the fourth largest maker of personal computers
_shipped to stores specializing in them_. And his hard-disk gamble was
paying off for the moment—the same risk that Osborne himself had avoided
as too perilous for a portable manufacturer.
Orders had kept piling up for Kaypro 10s. Then again, so had the
problems with Tandon, Kaypro’s major hard-disk supplier.
David Kay even claimed that Kaypro was receiving Tandon drives “with
‘IBM’ stamped on them that also have ‘reject’ stamped on them.” Delivery
delays allegedly had cost perhaps $30 million in sales of the Kaypro 10s
over eight months. Tandon, while conceding that some rejected drives may
have accidentally reached Kaypro, claimed that such problems were
rare.[12]
Footnote 12:
_Business Week_ is the source of the facts on Kaypro’s disk-drive
problems.
The Kays’ 1984 sales would exceed $100 million. But some rivals were
growing faster, and IBM, Panasonic, and other household names were now
muscling in on the portable market. “Kaypro’s immediate prospects are
good,” said one analyst of the industry. “I don’t know about the
long-term ones.” He told of a big white tent that the Kays had put up on
a hillside to store badly overstocked computer parts. The Kays might
argue that they wanted to keep expenses down. To the analyst, however,
the white tent symbolized amateurish management. In September, Kaypro
acknowledged that millions of dollars in computer parts might be missing
from the tent and some large trucks; and whatever the cause, theft or
bad accounting, the crisis hardly endeared Kaypro to investors. They now
could recover only $4 per share—a fraction of the $10 offering price.
Around the same time, some angry investors filed lawsuits charging
Kaypro with falsely reporting its finances. Kaypro denied this. I hadn’t
any idea of the validity of the suits. An official with Osborne
Computers, however, discussing the tent and the general management
problems it symbolized, appropriately observed: “It was déjà vu to hear
about Kaypro’s inventory situation.”
Six regional sales managers had left earlier that year for a competitor.
Former Kaypro executives griped that the Kays paid too much attention to
trivia. Andy Kay even interviewed prospective security guards. Some
employees relished this personal touch, but Blair G. Newman, ex-director
of marketing and strategic planning, complained to _Business Week_,
“There are too many Kays and not enough pros.” Unconvincingly, a Kaypro
spokeswoman shrugged off the resignations, saying a small clique of
friends had left and plenty of people had lined up to replace them.
Andy Kay’s antipathy toward professional managers was coming back to
spook him. All along his attitude hadn’t been so different from that of
Adam Osborne, who, stubbornly, told a reporter after the Chapter XI
filing, “The major lesson I learned from this thing is that I’m as good
a manager as any of those guys.” An ex-Kaypro employee complained to me:
“The Kays are worried that professional managers will take away their
power. Andy Kay wants to run the company himself. It’s a feudal society
there. A lot of employees call it the Kay fiefdom. It’s like a training
ground for young knights. You can learn a lot, but it locks you into a
rigid structure. There are no changes from the bottom up. That’s the big
problem. I don’t know how they get away with calling it ‘participative
management.’ Ordinary employees never have any meetings with Kays to
discuss major decisions. There’s no checks and balances. If the guy at
the top makes a mistake, there’s no way to correct it. No one can call
the king’s bluff and stay.”
The Kays fired someone close to the outspoken Newman. It was Clifford
Odendhal, the bearded musician who a year earlier had told me, “This is
the first job outside of entertainment that I ever cared about beyond my
paycheck.”
“Part of it had to do with salary,” he said: his request for a raise.
“They’d been paying me no more than what an assistant manager makes in a
K-mart. And I’d handled user groups, done publicity, and edited their
in-house newspaper.”
The users groups were mostly local organizations of Kaypro owners who
traded technical tips and gossip and bargained with stores for discounts
on equipment; they kept Kaypro in touch with the best-informed
customers, the trendsetters. They also relieved the strain on Kaypro’s
own technicians and stores. But Kaypro had cut back the money budgeted
for sending people out of town to meet with the users groups;
skeptically, Odendhal said the company had hoped to do this work almost
entirely via a computer network.
Then there was the question of whether Kaypro had a true marketing
department.
“They don’t,” Odendhal said. He and others around Newman had hoped that
the Kays would sound out the need for products scientifically before
turning the engineers loose. Odendhal may or may not have been right. If
marketing men at the large computer companies were so smart, how come
Kaypro and Osborne had been the first firms to make portables usable in
business? And what about all the IBM clones? Couldn’t the marketing
men’s me-too-ism have stifled innovation? Then again, another company
dominated by engineers—Texas Instruments—had flopped in the
home-computer market because it didn’t pay _enough_ heed to marketing.
The Kaypro Corporation, at least, still boasted a dealer network of more
than a thousand stores in mid-1984. But some stores in my area had
dropped or downplayed the Kaypro line in the earlier part of the year.
One reason was that just about all the Kaypro machines were still 8-bit
and didn’t run the new IBM-style software. Also, ComputerLand and other
big-name chains, a growing part of the business, complained that margins
on Kaypros were ten percentage points under competitors and that the
machines' software hurt sales of off-the-shelf programs. So ComputerLand
shunned Kaypro.
It was a clear case of the interests of the consumers being at odds with
those of the computer dealers. For the Kaypro II at the time was a
remarkable bargain; Andy Kay had lowered his _retail_ price in March to
$1,295.
What a contrast to the overpriced PC_jr_ from IBM. Just rumors of the
machine—nicknamed the Peanut—had kept the entire industry on edge. It
bore the three magic initials. And as the pros said, IBM was compatible
with IBM. Only it didn’t work out that way. The PC_jr_, at least the
first version, couldn’t run some electronic spreadsheet software and
other important programs written for the IBM. The introduction in
November 1983 had been anti-climactic in other ways. _Jr's_ little keys
were like chiclets, horrors for the touch-typist, and by the time you
bought your software and added a second disk drive, you’d be paying
hundreds of dollars more. Even after IBM upgraded the PC_jr's_ keyboard
in summer 1984 and lowered the price to $999 with one drive, the Kaypro
II was still superior for word processing. So were other machines. With
two disk drives and WordStar, the Sanyo MBC550—a somewhat IBM-compatible
desktop from Japan—listed for just $1,400. Not that the Sanyo lacked
limitations of its own. Its keyboard, too, was no match for the
Kaypro’s.
In 1984 the Kays introduced the New Kaypro II, which offered only one
disk drive but sold for just $995 and allowed for another to be added
for a few hundred dollars more. Anyone using the New Kaypro II for
business would be foolhardy to depend on just one drive. Not
surprisingly, the $995 machine inspired jibes that Kaypro was guilty of
using the same gimmickry as IBM and Apple had been with their
single-disk computers.
Moreover, all the Kaypro models, despite their low prices, made _some_
customers pay for their bargains with headaches.
Take Chris Jensen, a writer in Cleveland. He futilely tried for months
before he could send his stories to his newspaper from home via the
phone lines. His dealer had sold the Kaypro IV, promising that Jensen
could. “It’s really scummy to put this out,” the _Plain Dealer_ reporter
said of his machine, “and know that the communications software has
serious bugs in it. It’s the kind of thing that the government would
kick the shit out of the automobile companies for doing.” A Kaypro
employee admitted that the communications software for the Kaypro IV had
come out with bugs, but not those of the kind that were plaguing Chris
Jensen. He confirmed another of Jensen’s complaints: that the Kaypro IV
model with the modem couldn’t use the most popular communications
software at the time. Coincidentally or not—shortly after Jensen griped
to me, the _New York Times_, and computer writer Peter McWilliams—Kaypro
released SuprTerm version 5.3. And that did the trick for him. The
machine delighted Jensen in other ways, but he still wondered about all
the ordinary customers out there who were unwilling or unable to wage a
media campaign to get their software up to snuff.
Jensen’s story was atypical—many Kaypro owners still spoke as if their
computers were micro manna.
Still, the new Robie, introduced in early 1984, might be a sign of
troubles to come. It was unique, a desktop selling for $2,300 with two
2.5-megabyte _floppy_ disks. But disks didn’t run as quickly as a hard
disk, and as of late 1984, the Robie just hadn’t caught on. The Robie
looked so ugly—ungainly, plastic cheap, fit for a discount store—that
even some value-minded buyers might have thought twice about bringing it
into their offices. It was a computer that only a designer could love.
And it was just an 8-bit machine.
In the 8- versus 16-bit battle, people were accusing Kay of living in
the past. It was Osborne all over again, some might have said—just like
Kay’s old rival babbling on and on about the virtues of a machine with a
tiny screen. This may have been unfair. For simple word processing, for
instance, an 8-bit machine could be a terrific bargain. But many buyers
still gravitated to the 16-bitters, worrying that future software might
not appear in the Kaypro CP/M format.
Kay’s attitude didn’t help. He was showing less of the adventurousness
that had led to his hard-disk portable.
And he now felt that the Kaypro II was just like the old Volkswagen bug
and would always be around—an ominous parallel considering VW’s recent
fiascos in the auto market.[13]
Footnote 13:
Kaypro later dropped the Kaypro II and replaced it with the $1,595
Kaypro 2X. It’s still a II, though, except for some improvements such
as more disk space. The 2X’s disks store almost 400K each.
Some software programs endured because enough people learned and liked
them; and the Apple II in one form or another would last; but the Kaypro
II? Even with hundreds of thousands of users? What about the ill-fated
Osborne? No, computer buyers normally spurned antiques. Within a year or
two Andy Kay might change his mind and ponder whether to update the
Kaypro II drastically or kill it.
In November 1984, well over six months later than Kaypro had promised
investors, a 16-bit IBM-compatible machine appeared.
“He’d rather not call it an IBM clone,” said an industry observer. “He’d
rather call it just a 16-bit computer. It’s a matter of pride.”
The 16-bit model, a portable with a 10-megabyte hard disk and 256K RAM,
looked somewhat like the Kaypro II and IV. It had an =expansion slot=
into which you could plug a device to hype up the performance of the
machine or expand its versatility; and it offered free WordStar along
with other software. At $3,295 it sold for $1,700 less than a hard disk
portable from Compaq. But it faced stiff competition from machines such
as the hard disk desktop from Leading Edge, which was discounted to as
low as $2,000. The 16 just wouldn’t wallop rivals the way the original
Kaypro II had.
And it shared some of the drawbacks of the Compaq and many other IBM
clones—especially the keyboard. The left shift key was in an awkward
position like the IBM PC’s, with a weird, nonalphabetical character
separating it and the “Z”; imagine the reaction of touch typists who had
enjoyed the Kaypro II’s close resemblance to the traditional Selectric
keyboard. Many makers of 16-bit machines had aped the horrid PC
keyboard, causing one reviewer to liken them to idiot savante piano
players who imitated the mistakes of true geniuses.
The 16, moreover, showed Kaypro’s internal weaknesses. Dan Berger of the
San Diego recalled how Kaypro had futilely struggled for more than eight
months to design the computer in-house. The project had flopped. Kaypro
farmed the design out to a San Diego firm, which did the job in a
fraction of the time. Earlier in 1984 Andy Kay had told Berger that
Kaypro was spending only 1 percent of revenues on research and
development, compared to the industry average of about 10 percent. How
frustrated he must have felt paying an outside firm. Osborne had had to
do that, but technically Kay had placed himself and his company in a
different league.
Kaypro was heavily depending on the 16. The company hoped it would
provide 40 percent of income for the year ending August 31, 1985.
Early signs were good. A small dealer in Virginia, for instance, The
Disk Connection, sold six Kaypro 16s in one week—half to existing Kaypro
owners and half to new customers. Some people had demanded an IBM clone,
bungled keyboard and all; now Kaypro had given it to them with a
vengeance. Appearing late, however, the 16 had lost much of its price
advantage. In another six months IBM might well sell its XT hard disk
model for as little as the new Kaypro portable.[14]
Footnote 14:
“XT” stands for “extended.”
The 16, if successful, would triumph at a helpful time. In the 1983
budget year, the company had earned $12.9 million on $75 million in
sales; the next budget year it had _lost_ $267,683 on sales of about
$120 million—blaming everything from advertising costs to price-cutting
and inventory problems. No longer was Kaypro a success story. It
remained strong in some stores specializing in computers; but the share
of the whole domestic market for personal micros would be 2.5 percent in
1984—a drop from 1983.[15]
Footnote 15:
Kenneth Lim of Dataquest, Inc., the San Jose, California marketing
research firm, is the source of the 2.5 percent estimate quoted in the
_Wall Street Journal_, November 14, 1984.
In the long run, moreover, unless Andy Kay made major production
changes, his computers might lose what price advantage they did have.
Automation was improving rivals’ quality control and whittling down
their labor expenses. Eventually, they’d be just a tiny fraction of the
cost of a computer. Apple already had built a $20 million plant to crank
out the Macintosh computer, using Japanese-style manufacturing savvy;
Macs even helped oversee the manufacturing of Macs. “I don’t even know
if the Kays could automate their plant,” said the ex-employee who’d
accused the family of running a feudal society. “You’ve got these four
buildings no wider than a single room. They have a lot of windows, and
that’s great for the people—but hard on computer parts. Often people
placed piles of parts on the lawn overnight when they didn’t have space
elsewhere.” The Kays, to be sure, had put up a semiautomated warehouse
designed by Andy’s daughter Janice and built by his son-in-law’s
construction firm. “But,” said the ex-Kaypro employee, “that’s not the
same as automating the whole plant.” And Andy’s selection of the
architect and construction firm was further evidence of the Kays’
tight-grip management style.
This lack of flexibility could especially hurt them in responding to the
threat from lap-sized machines with flat screens. Sooner or later they
would menace the Kaypro-sized “luggables” in the business market.
About 120,000 flat screens sold in 1983, and although they weren’t
moving off the shelves as rapidly as expected in 1984, sales still might
exceed several hundred thousand.
Some showed 16 lines at one time. That wasn’t as many as the 24 on the
Kaypro II screen, but enough for light-duty word processing. And soon
others would do for the heavy-duty kind and a slew of additional uses.
Thousands of traveling reporters and executives were already using the
Radio Shack Model 100 introduced in 1983—despite its tiny built-in
memory (no more than 24K in a typical configuration) and small screen (8
lines only 40 characters wide).
But where had Andy Kay hoped to get his first flat-screen model? From
Mitsui & Co. in Japan, which would offer it to other U.S. companies,
including perhaps some with marketing clout far greater than his. The
Kays had thought they’d be the only people selling the note-book-sized
computer. By late summer 1984, half a year after the original hoopla,
Kaypro should have been shipping this miracle machine, but a spokesman
in September could not even tell me if the Mitsui deal was still alive.
Then word came out that the deal had fallen through and a flat screen
Kaypro wouldn’t appear until 1985.
A rival company, Morrow, Inc.—headed by George Morrow, a witty, balding
ex-grad student in math, one of Silicon Valley’s better hardware
gurus—had meanwhile acted more successfully. In late 1984 it began
marketing the Pivot, a ten-pound, $2,495 MS-DOS portable with one disk
drive and a well-reviewed clone of WordStar called NewWord. And a
revitalized Osborne—on the verge of escaping the Chapter XI bankruptcy
proceedings—would soon sell its own version of the machine.
Data General, the mini-maker written up in the best-seller _Soul of a
New Machine_, was another threat to Kaypro. In September 1984 it
unveiled the Data General/One, which offered IBM compatibility, a
built-in 737K floppy disk drive, and a 25-line flat screen. A software
developer joked that the letters on the screen were so faint that the
machine should be sold with a coal miner’s hat to read it. But
eventually the flat screen would be just as readable as the Kaypro’s
cathode ray tube. With the inevitable price drops and refinements,
machines like the Pivot and the Data General/One would wreak havoc on
Kaypro sales unless Kay retaliated with the right flat-screen portable
of his own. IBM, AT&T, and Compaq, too, were designing their own
flat-screen machines. And already Hewlett-Packard had been selling a
$2,995 flat-screen computer with the popular Lotus 1-2-3 spreadsheet
program in Read Only Memory—permanent memory.
Another firm—Epson, a branch of Seiko, the giant Japanese conglomerate
known for watches—was shipping a $995 computer with a compressed version
of WordStar in ROM. The screen displayed only 8 lines of information at
a time. But within months a 16-liner from NEC (formerly called the
Nippon Electric Company) hit the market at the same price, complete with
WordStar and built-in gadgetry for talking to other machines on the
phone.
WordStar was now the only word-processing program offered free with the
“luggable” Kaypros. If Andy Kay’s lap-sized micro couldn’t run it or a
clone like New Word, he might be paving the way for some of his
customers to buy rivals’ flat screens that did.
Most buyers used Kaypros to write or type. And how many would relish a
switch to a new word-processing program?
And what about piping WordStar-composed letters and other documents from
the luggables to the lap-size Kaypros? Customers could do so, but then
they might have to insert new commands to tell their printers to
underline or produce other special effects.
Beyond everything else, Andy Kay had better offer good software to fight
rivals selling flat-screen machines similar to his. And WordStar over
the years had generally been the most popular word processor for micros.
4 ❑ WordStar: The Creators
Arthur Clarke is _the_ Arthur Clarke, the science-fiction writer who
gave us _2001_ and that beastly computer named HAL. Seymour Rubinstein
is a California businessman with only fleeting mentions outside the
magazines of the computer trade. He is literate but not literary. When I
talked to him, he had not read Clarke’s latest novel. Yet Seymour
Rubinstein and a colleague played more than a small role in the the
writing of _2010_; for they created WordStar, the word-processing
program that Clarke uses.
WordStar is to micro software what _Citizen Kane_ is to movies: it is
old—by computer standards, anyway—but it’s one of the best of its kind.
If, when writing, Clarke wants to insert a phrase several sentences
back, for instance, he can just zip the cursor to the proper place, then
type in the addition. He needn’t enter a special “Editing” mode. Some
WordStar rivals may break up your thoughts by making you change modes.
Moreover, with simple keystrokes, Clarke can insert, drop, and move
whole paragraphs.
“I can make corrections without hesitation that I wouldn’t have done
before,” Clarke said enthusiastically about WordStar and his Archives
micro. “It’s at least doubled my production with a quarter of the
effort.” His normal output for his books and articles was still around a
thousand words a day, but WordStar had made his writing more fun, and
now he was churning out letter after letter to “my neglected friends.”
“I said I’d retired,” he told me over the phone from his home in Sri
Lanka, “but now I’m working on three or four things simultaneously. I
haven’t touched a typewriter since I got this computer a year or so
ago.”[16] You can easily understand why he hasn’t. No longer, for
instance, does a noisy bell tell Clarke that he’s nearing the right
margin—he just keeps on typing and a feature called =word wrap=
automatically takes him on to the next line.
Footnote 16:
Clarke responded by phone in early 1983 to questions I’d mailed about
his use of WordStar.
Granted, WordStar is traditional software. It doesn’t use =icons=, for
instance, those cute little pictures of wastebaskets or file folders
that some snazzy new programs will flash across your screen to tell you
what you’re doing. And as of this writing, anyway, the original WordStar
didn’t offer =split screens= to show more than one electronic file at
once. WordStar 2000, a related but not identical program, does. First
marketed in late 1984, it may supplant plain old WordStar eventually,
but the original program will always have a special place in the hearts
of the cognoscenti. It’s an indisputable classic. More than a million
people have used WordStar since it appeared in 1979. Rubinstein and Rob
Barnaby, the brilliant programmer who did the actual coding for
WordStar, are legends.
As computer technology matures, the machines themselves will be mere
commodities like televisions or Walkman imitations. It’s the programs
that run on them which will make the difference.
WordStar is at least adequate, and mostly superb, in all but the last of
these areas:
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